Unfortunately there isn't a substantial difference... if the i7 was quad core like its laptop counterpart, I'd agree with you, as dual core to quad core is a nice jump. But, the SP3's i7 is still a dual core with the same TDP as the i5. Here are the specs for each:Though I understand we aren't comparing apples to oranges I stand by my statement that the i7 will outperform the SP2. But nobody will know for certain until someone has it to compare with. There is a substantial difference in the processors.
4th Gen i5-4300U; Clock Speed 1.9 GHz (Max 2.9 GHz); Intel HD 4400
4th Gen i7-4650U; Clock Speed 1.7 GHz (Max 3.3 GHz); Intel HD 5000
Even the HD4400 ---> HD5000 isn't that much of a jump (20EU's to 40EU's):
http://www.anandtech.com/show/7072/intel-hd-5000-vs-hd-4000-vs-hd-4400
Improvements in the MacBook with HD5000 they test, which has much better thermal headroom than the SP3, is still 10% or less over the HD4400. Throw in the serious throttling the SP3 has that drops the GPU from 1100mhz down to 598mhz, and it doesn't paint a pretty picture.
I'm hoping Microsoft gives the i7 a better thermal throttling curve to work with, and have an i7 on order to compare, but nothing I can come up with points to the i7-4650U being substantially better.
I just hope the 40 EU's on the HD5000 can help offset the 20Eu's a bit at Microsoft's throttled speed.